What the build does to the economy
Two effects: a demand-side boost while building, and a permanent supply-side gain once operating — avoiding double-counting by separating new GDP from protected GDP.
Base program (2026–2031)
Maximum exposure scenario (~22 years)
Conditional upside: the northern data center corridor, if pursued
These figures are entirely excluded from the base program and Maximum exposure scenario above — they are conditional on the coordinated national data-center strategy this plan calls for (see Data center corridor), not something this plan assumes happens by default.
Three things the headline numbers understate: terms-of-trade gains compound — every export corridor that ends single-buyer captivity narrows the discount on Canadian resources (TMX demonstrably narrowed the heavy-oil differential); the capability spillover is real — a country that rebuilds its engineering, trades and megaproject-delivery capacity keeps it for the next generation of projects; and the insurance value is the point — the "GDP protected" line is what Canada does not lose in the scenario where US market access actually collapses, which after August 2026 is no longer a tail risk.
Does this much growth and job creation overheat the economy or drive up prices? This plan tested that explicitly, at both the whole-economy and sectoral level — see What This Plan Can't Do for the overheating-and-inflation risk item, and Labor Model for the trade-by-trade wage-escalation detail behind it.